PeakVoucher · Research

The deadline effect: a three-week voucher gets used five times more often than a two-month one

Shu and Gneezy gave people a pastry voucher: 32% redeemed the three-week one, 6% the two-month one. What that means for the vouchers in your inbox, and how to fake a deadline.

By the upeak team3 min read2 sources
6%Two-month deadline32%Three-week deadlineRedemption of the same gift certificate, by deadline (Shu& Gneezy, 2010)

Key takeaways

  • A three-week deadline produced five times the redemption of a two-month one for the same free item.
  • People predicted the opposite; present bias makes a far deadline a reason to wait.
  • A wallet that leads with the next sixty days, red under fourteen, gives every voucher a near deadline.

You would expect a longer deadline to get more vouchers used. It does the opposite, reliably and by a wide margin, and the reason is one of the better-documented quirks in how people treat time.

The experiment

Suzanne Shu and Ayelet Gneezy gave people a gift certificate for a pastry at a local bakery. Half received one valid for three weeks, half one valid for two months. Asked to predict, people with the longer deadline expected to be more likely to redeem it. In practice 32% of the three-week group redeemed and 6% of the two-month group did. The longer window did not create more opportunities; it created more reasons to do it later.

The paper's title is the diagnosis: Procrastination of Enjoyable Experiences. The thing being put off was not a chore. It was a free pastry.

Why a long deadline loses

The mechanism is present bias, the tendency to weigh today's small cost against a future benefit in a way that flips every time today arrives. O'Donoghue and Rabin formalised it in Doing It Now or Later: an agent who is slightly impatient about the present will plan to act tomorrow, and tomorrow will plan the same. A deadline far away keeps the plan comfortable. A deadline close enough to feel forces the act.

Vouchers make this worse in a specific way. They are pleasant, so there is no urgency from pain; they arrive as text, so they are out of sight; and the special-occasion feeling that comes with a gift card makes any ordinary Tuesday feel like the wrong day to spend it.

Manufacturing a near deadline

You cannot change the expiry date printed in the message, but you can change the deadline you see. A wallet that shows only what expires within the next sixty days, ranked, turns a stack of long-dated vouchers into one short list with a near horizon. Fourteen days is the point at which the three-week effect kicks in, so that is where the colour changes. The rest of the wallet is still there, one tap away; it is simply not the first thing you look at.

The same logic says to review the list on a schedule, not when you happen to remember. A weekly glance at the expiring group is a recurring three-week deadline for everything you own.

How PeakVoucher does it

PeakVoucher's wallet opens on the expiring-soon group, with the days remaining on each row and the colour switching at fourteen days. Favourites float up inside each group so the one you actually intend to use stays visible. On the watch the list is the soonest-expiring nine vouchers and nothing else, which is the shortest deadline of all: the one you see when you check the time.

PeakVoucher is built for this

A wallet for the vouchers buried in your messages. Coming soon, in private beta.

Explore PeakVoucher

Questions

Does this apply to money vouchers or only treats?
The study used a pastry, but present bias applies to any pleasant, deferrable act. A ₪200 gift card is deferrable in exactly the same way.
Should I just spend vouchers the day I get them?
If there is something you need, yes. Otherwise the practical rule is to give every voucher a date on which you will decide, and keep that date within a few weeks.
Why fourteen days for the red band?
It is close to the three-week window in the study and short enough to feel this week. Sixty days is the amber band because most short-dated coupons live inside it.

Sources

  1. Shu S.B., Gneezy A. (2010). Procrastination of Enjoyable Experiences. Journal of Marketing Research 47(5), 933–944. https://doi.org/10.1509/jmkr.47.5.933
  2. O'Donoghue T., Rabin M. (1999). Doing It Now or Later. American Economic Review 89(1), 103–124. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.89.1.103